Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Coyle
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Coyle
Bjugstad
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Coyle
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Coyle
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.4% (867)
+3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
56.0% (25)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
40.7% (216)
+7.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bjugstad
Home
53.3% (512)
46.5% (480)
Away
51.9% (507)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Coyle
Bjugstad
P1
53.8%
48.7%
P2
47.8%
45.6%
P3
56.7%
49.1%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |