Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Coyle
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
46.7% (398)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
51.6% (31)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
62.5% (8)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bjugstad
Home
47.4% (409)
47.3% (220)
Away
50.0% (360)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Coyle
Bjugstad
P1
50.8%
46.1%
P2
46.0%
46.3%
P3
48.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |