Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 69.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Coyle
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Coyle
Bjugstad
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
50.7% (906)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
48.1% (108)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
44.4% (239)
-0.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bjugstad
Home
54.5% (719)
49.8% (643)
Away
48.8% (758)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Coyle
Bjugstad
P1
51.1%
49.4%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
53.3%
47.9%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |