Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Schmaltz
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Coyle
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
39.5% (658)
+13.8%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
41.3% (92)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
45.1% (51)
-1.9%
On even strength, Coyle has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
49.5% (210)
40.8% (424)
Away
54.4% (250)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
53.3%
38.4%
P2
48.0%
40.7%
P3
55.7%
41.0%
OT
46.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |