Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.2%). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 78.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Coyle
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
48.1% (268)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
50.5% (91)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
58.8% (17)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
47.4% (409)
49.0% (206)
Away
50.0% (360)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
50.8%
53.6%
P2
46.0%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
50.4%
OT
64.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |