Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
37.7% (53)
+15.0%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
40.9% (44)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
66.7% (3)
-18.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
53.3% (512)
34.7% (49)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
53.8%
25.9%
P2
47.8%
46.2%
P3
56.7%
42.1%
OT
38.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |