Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 61.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 83.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Schmaltz
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Coyle
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
38.5% (309)
+14.5%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
53.2% (79)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
25.0% (12)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
54.5% (719)
38.0% (184)
Away
48.8% (758)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
51.1%
40.3%
P2
50.0%
39.9%
P3
53.3%
40.7%
OT
57.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |