Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Coyle
Schmaltz
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Coyle
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
9
4
Coyle
Schmaltz
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
8
Coyle
Schmaltz
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
41.2% (3,399)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
47.1% (649)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
47.8% (134)
-4.2%
On even strength, Coyle has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
49.8% (4,835)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
49.4%
41.1%
P2
48.3%
42.9%
P3
48.8%
43.0%
OT
49.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |