Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 89.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 73.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Coyle
Schmaltz
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Coyle
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
2
Coyle
Schmaltz
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
4
Coyle
Schmaltz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
41.1% (3,218)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
47.3% (637)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
47.2% (125)
-3.4%
On even strength, Coyle has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,699).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
49.7% (4,692)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
49.5%
41.1%
P2
48.2%
42.6%
P3
48.6%
43.0%
OT
49.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |