Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Roy 51.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 58.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Coyle
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Roy
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
51.9% (547)
+0.4%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
54.1% (37)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
53.3% (92)
-8.5%
On power play, Roy has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roy
Home
49.0% (537)
54.0% (328)
Away
52.1% (516)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Coyle
Roy
P1
48.7%
53.5%
P2
49.6%
51.6%
P3
53.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |