Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.7%). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Roy 47.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Coyle
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Coyle
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
48.6% (679)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
48.0% (50)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
34.7% (49)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roy
Home
47.4% (409)
49.3% (345)
Away
50.0% (360)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Coyle
Roy
P1
50.8%
47.6%
P2
46.0%
47.1%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
64.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%