Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Roy 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Coyle
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Coyle
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
49.5% (746)
+1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
50.7% (75)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
42.7% (110)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roy
Home
51.8% (517)
47.7% (491)
Away
46.7% (583)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Coyle
Roy
P1
49.2%
51.1%
P2
52.8%
44.6%
P3
44.8%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |