Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Roy 48.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 63.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Coyle
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Roy
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
48.3% (633)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
52.1% (48)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
43.7% (87)
+4.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roy
Home
53.3% (512)
50.8% (376)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Coyle
Roy
P1
53.8%
53.8%
P2
47.8%
43.5%
P3
56.7%
46.4%
OT
38.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |