Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Roy 47.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 50.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Coyle
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Coyle
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
47.5% (617)
+5.5%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
39.6% (53)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
46.4% (97)
-2.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roy
Home
54.5% (719)
47.2% (398)
Away
48.8% (758)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Coyle
Roy
P1
51.1%
48.6%
P2
50.0%
48.8%
P3
53.3%
43.9%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |