Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Coyle
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Coyle
Roy
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Coyle
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
2
Coyle
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.7% (3,719)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
49.5% (283)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
45.5% (477)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roy
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Coyle
Roy
P1
49.4%
50.8%
P2
48.3%
46.3%
P3
48.8%
48.1%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |