Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.4%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
5
Coyle
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
52.3% (982)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
41.9% (43)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
39.2% (245)
-9.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
51.8% (517)
50.3% (680)
Away
46.7% (583)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
49.2%
49.5%
P2
52.8%
49.6%
P3
44.8%
49.0%
OT
54.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |