Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 84.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.2% (901)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
68.2% (22)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
49.8% (219)
-1.7%
On even strength, Coyle has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
53.3% (512)
51.7% (603)
Away
51.9% (507)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
53.8%
50.9%
P2
47.8%
49.5%
P3
56.7%
49.1%
OT
38.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |