Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Coyle
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
9
7
Coyle
Kuraly
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
51.5% (5,067)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
56.0% (100)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
44.0% (1,063)
-0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,194).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (4,692)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
48.2%
50.0%
P3
48.6%
49.9%
OT
49.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |