Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 72.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Kuraly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
4
Coyle
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Coyle
Kuraly
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
56.0% (100)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
44.2% (1,086)
-0.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (4,835)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
49.4%
51.1%
P2
48.3%
49.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |