Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 56.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 55.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Coyle
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
51.8% (444)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
45.3% (150)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (537)
54.6% (304)
Away
52.1% (516)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
48.7%
55.2%
P2
49.6%
45.7%
P3
53.1%
49.5%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |