Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 55.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Coyle
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Coyle
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
55.3% (515)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
55.6% (9)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
44.8% (58)
-1.4%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
47.4% (409)
57.3% (293)
Away
50.0% (360)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
46.0%
51.5%
P3
48.4%
57.6%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |