Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 60.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Coyle
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Coyle
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
49.3% (789)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
56.9% (181)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
54.1% (98)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stamkos
Home
51.8% (517)
52.0% (512)
Away
46.7% (583)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Coyle
Stamkos
P1
49.2%
42.1%
P2
52.8%
56.4%
P3
44.8%
53.7%
OT
54.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |