Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 71.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Coyle
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Stamkos
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Coyle
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
55.3% (628)
-2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
55.1% (216)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
40.2% (87)
+7.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stamkos
Home
53.3% (512)
55.5% (499)
Away
51.9% (507)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Coyle
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
50.7%
P2
47.8%
53.8%
P3
56.7%
55.9%
OT
38.5%
87.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |