Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 83.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Coyle
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Coyle
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
49.3% (670)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
53.7% (121)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
33.3% (3)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stamkos
Home
47.4% (409)
54.0% (400)
Away
50.0% (360)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Coyle
Stamkos
P1
50.8%
48.6%
P2
46.0%
54.5%
P3
48.4%
45.4%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |