Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.9% vs 41.5%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Seguin 42.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 56.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 68.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Seguin
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Coyle
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Coyle
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
41.1% (649)
+0.3%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
54.2% (24)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
25.0% (4)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
46.4% (211)
44.4% (338)
Away
38.1% (247)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
46.2%
37.8%
P2
39.5%
45.5%
P3
37.0%
41.9%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |