Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 66.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
56.9% (478)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
57.4% (54)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
51.3% (76)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
54.5% (719)
57.4% (317)
Away
48.8% (758)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
53.3%
58.0%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |