Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Coyle
Seguin
Last 6: Coyle 3-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Coyle
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Coyle
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
56.5% (712)
-5.9%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
59.7% (67)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
44.9% (49)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
51.8% (517)
58.5% (402)
Away
46.7% (583)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
49.2%
58.4%
P2
52.8%
54.7%
P3
44.8%
54.1%
OT
54.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |