Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Coyle
Seguin
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Coyle
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
55.0% (713)
-2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
56.7% (104)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
47.2% (53)
+0.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
53.3% (512)
56.2% (443)
Away
51.9% (507)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
53.8%
54.2%
P2
47.8%
52.9%
P3
56.7%
57.1%
OT
38.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |