Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 29-24 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 60.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 56.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
29
(53 meetings)
24
29
Coyle
Seguin
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
15
Coyle
Seguin
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
13
8
Coyle
Seguin
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Coyle
Seguin
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
55.9% (810)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
49.3% (762)
-5.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
49.8% (4,835)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
49.4%
52.8%
P2
48.3%
53.3%
P3
48.8%
54.7%
OT
49.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |