Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 75.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
53.2% (201)
-0.9%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
60.0% (25)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
44.4% (9)
+0.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
49.0% (537)
56.3% (126)
Away
52.1% (516)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
48.7%
44.3%
P2
49.6%
52.1%
P3
53.1%
62.5%
OT
45.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |