Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs McDavid 48.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 65.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Dvorak
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dvorak
McDavid
Last 7: Dvorak 2-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Dvorak
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
3
Dvorak
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
46.9% (633)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
69.2% (26)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
45.5% (11)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
58.6% (444)
49.9% (353)
Away
52.1% (505)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
54.5%
46.6%
P2
53.6%
50.9%
P3
57.1%
45.9%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |