Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs McDavid 47.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 51.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 66.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Dvorak
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Dvorak
McDavid
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
7
Dvorak
McDavid
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
1
Dvorak
McDavid
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
7
Dvorak
McDavid
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
47.7% (8,358)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
52.0% (371)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
43.4% (279)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
54.7% (4,115)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
54.5%
46.5%
P2
51.8%
48.7%
P3
53.0%
48.3%
OT
56.9%
40.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |