Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs McDavid 47.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 88.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 79.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Dvorak
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Dvorak
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Dvorak
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Dvorak
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Dvorak
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
47.7% (715)
+8.7%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
51.9% (52)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
22.2% (9)
+28.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
55.1% (501)
47.3% (387)
Away
56.4% (559)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
55.8%
47.6%
P2
52.5%
50.0%
P3
58.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |