Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.9%). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs McDavid 51.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 58.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Dvorak
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
51.5% (889)
+0.7%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
63.9% (36)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
51.2% (86)
+2.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
54.1% (423)
50.7% (513)
Away
50.2% (494)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
51.4%
52.3%
P2
52.0%
51.6%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |