Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs McDavid 51.0% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 75.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Dvorak
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
51.6% (803)
+5.4%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
50.0% (40)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
36.4% (22)
+13.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
58.3% (151)
51.8% (415)
Away
57.4% (190)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
56.7%
47.5%
P2
56.7%
51.6%
P3
59.6%
55.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%