Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Dvorak
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Dvorak
Tavares
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Dvorak
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Dvorak
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
7
1
Dvorak
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
60.9% (1,043)
-5.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
60.4% (278)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
47.6% (21)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Tavares
Home
59.0% (432)
63.5% (684)
Away
54.8% (535)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Dvorak
Tavares
P1
58.7%
60.3%
P2
53.9%
60.4%
P3
57.2%
60.1%
OT
70.6%
92.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |