Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 74.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dvorak
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dvorak
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Dvorak
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
57.7% (998)
-1.3%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
60.5% (271)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
56.4% (39)
-5.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Tavares
Home
55.1% (501)
59.7% (610)
Away
56.4% (559)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Dvorak
Tavares
P1
55.8%
57.2%
P2
52.5%
58.5%
P3
58.2%
59.4%
OT
63.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |