Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Dvorak
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dvorak
Tavares
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Dvorak
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
57.5% (914)
-5.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
60.5% (309)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
59.1% (22)
-5.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Tavares
Home
54.1% (423)
61.0% (661)
Away
50.2% (494)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Dvorak
Tavares
P1
51.4%
58.6%
P2
52.0%
57.8%
P3
52.4%
58.4%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |