Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Dvorak
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
59.2% (1,035)
-2.2%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
60.0% (310)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Tavares
Home
58.3% (151)
57.5% (668)
Away
57.4% (190)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Dvorak
Tavares
P1
56.7%
58.0%
P2
56.7%
60.1%
P3
59.6%
61.0%
OT
60.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
61.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%