Christian Dvorak vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 82.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 71.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
2
Dvorak
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
3
Dvorak
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
48.5% (439)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
54.8% (42)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
25.0% (12)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Dvorak shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Home
55.0% (516)
52.5% (221)
Away
49.3% (546)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Dvorak
MacKinnon
P1
54.9%
50.5%
P2
51.1%
45.5%
P3
51.0%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |