Christian Dvorak vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 58.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Dvorak
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
45.5% (1,190)
+11.5%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
56.4% (94)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Home
58.3% (151)
47.8% (670)
Away
57.4% (190)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Dvorak
MacKinnon
P1
56.7%
45.3%
P2
56.7%
48.5%
P3
59.6%
45.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%