Christian Dvorak vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 50.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Dvorak
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
44.7% (1,053)
+7.5%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
36.8% (95)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
65.0% (20)
-11.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Home
54.1% (423)
49.4% (553)
Away
50.2% (494)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Dvorak
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
45.3%
P2
52.0%
42.7%
P3
52.4%
45.1%
OT
60.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%