Christian Dvorak vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 62.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 78.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Last 9: Dvorak 6-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
45.8% (755)
+9.9%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
48.3% (60)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
27.6% (29)
+29.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Dvorak
MacKinnon
Home
59.0% (432)
49.5% (396)
Away
54.8% (535)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Dvorak
MacKinnon
P1
58.7%
50.2%
P2
53.9%
43.8%
P3
57.2%
41.4%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |