Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.4%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 67.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 77.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 54.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Dvorak
Aho
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
48.5% (778)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
63.4% (191)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
50.8% (65)
+2.7%
On power play, Aho has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
54.1% (423)
51.3% (530)
Away
50.2% (494)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
51.4%
50.0%
P2
52.0%
51.3%
P3
52.4%
52.1%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |