Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Aho 50.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 50.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 73.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Dvorak
Aho
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
6
Dvorak
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
1
Dvorak
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
49.9% (851)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
53.5% (144)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
43.3% (60)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
53.6% (461)
53.2% (554)
Away
52.9% (507)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
54.1%
49.1%
P2
52.9%
50.8%
P3
53.8%
49.7%
OT
36.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |