Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Aho 53.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 78.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 72.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
51.2% (785)
+5.8%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
63.8% (213)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
57.9% (57)
-7.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
58.3% (151)
54.9% (548)
Away
57.4% (190)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
56.7%
52.8%
P2
56.7%
58.9%
P3
59.6%
50.6%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |