Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.3%). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Aho 54.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 84.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
54.5% (870)
+1.9%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
62.4% (266)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
37.1% (62)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
55.1% (501)
53.9% (603)
Away
56.4% (559)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
55.8%
54.1%
P2
52.5%
55.0%
P3
58.2%
57.4%
OT
63.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
55.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |