Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Aho 51.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 57.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 64.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Dvorak
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
22
(55 meetings)
33
22
Dvorak
Aho
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
12
Dvorak
Aho
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
19
4
Dvorak
Aho
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
8
6
Dvorak
Aho
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
50.1% (6,619)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
46.3% (464)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Aho
Home
54.7% (4,115)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Dvorak
Aho
P1
54.5%
51.1%
P2
51.8%
52.0%
P3
53.0%
50.7%
OT
56.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |