Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs McDavid 53.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 78.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 86.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 85.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Giroux
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Giroux
McDavid
Last 6: Giroux 4-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
54.3% (1,002)
+3.4%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
44.8% (29)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
33.3% (15)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Giroux shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Giroux
McDavid
Home
62.5% (675)
53.6% (507)
Away
57.5% (541)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Giroux
McDavid
P1
60.6%
52.6%
P2
59.8%
54.1%
P3
60.9%
54.9%
OT
47.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
64.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |