Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs McDavid 51.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 68.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 55.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Giroux
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Giroux
McDavid
Last 6: Giroux 3-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Giroux
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
51.6% (803)
+3.9%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
50.0% (40)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
36.4% (22)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Giroux
McDavid
Home
59.0% (576)
51.8% (415)
Away
56.9% (576)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Giroux
McDavid
P1
57.0%
47.5%
P2
58.1%
51.6%
P3
58.9%
55.5%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |