Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs McDavid 47.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 59.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Giroux
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Giroux
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Giroux
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
47.7% (715)
+11.9%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
51.9% (52)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
22.2% (9)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Giroux
McDavid
Home
65.7% (461)
47.3% (387)
Away
57.7% (515)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Giroux
McDavid
P1
60.7%
47.6%
P2
63.7%
50.0%
P3
60.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |