Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs McDavid 51.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 77.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 82.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 81.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Giroux
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Giroux
McDavid
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
3
Giroux
McDavid
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
51.5% (889)
+8.2%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
63.9% (36)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
51.2% (86)
+0.4%
On even strength, Giroux has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Giroux
McDavid
Home
59.5% (580)
50.7% (513)
Away
57.3% (641)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Giroux
McDavid
P1
56.6%
52.3%
P2
58.0%
51.6%
P3
60.8%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |